Recovery in US Hard Red Winter Wheat Potential Possible, Not Likely

January 18, 2013

The odds are stacked heavily against a favorable hard red winter wheat harvest in 2013. 

Winter storms have produced generous precipitation in Southern Plains winter wheat areas, but profound drought previously has stacked the odds against a favorable harvest.  Fields are dry through a very deep layer.    One or two winter storms are not enough to replenish parched soils.

The Amarillo, Texas, rainfall plot shows that less than one inch of rainfall developed from October through December.  January precipitation was generous, but arrived too late in the wheat growth cycle for a strong improvement in the crop yield... subscribers continue to full story...

 

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